horse-racing tip

Mildmay Novices’ Chase 2019 Horse Racing Preview & Tip

The Mildmay Novices’ Chase (Friday 5 April) is a grade one chase run over 3 miles and 210 yards that takes place on the second day of Aintree’s Grand National Meeting. It first took place in 1981 and notable winners include Burrough Hill Lad, Rhyme ‘n’ Reason. Royal Athlete, Big Buck’s, Silviniaco Conti, and Native River.

Mildmay Novices’ Chasse 10-Year-Trends

  • Winners have been aged between five and eight
  • The last nine winners have been rated at least 149
  • Five favourites or joint-favourites have won
  • SP’s of the winners have ranged from 8/13 to 7/1
  • Nicky Henderson has trained three of the last 10 winners and Paul Nicholls two

Mildmay Novices’ Chase 2019 Main Contenders

Topofthegame

Not many horses have completed the RSA Chase and Mildmay Novices’ Chase double, but the 2017 winner Might Bite did and this horse could go onto become as good as him. He certainly looked high-class when winning this year’s RSA Chase, but the formbook suggests he might be slightly better on undulating tracks. However, he’s rated six pounds clear of his rivals, which is a mark that only one of the last nine winners had achieved coming into this race. His trainer Paul Nicholls has also won the race on four previous occasions.

Lostintransalation

Trainer Colin Tizzard probably regretted not running Lostintranslation in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival as he was out-speeded in the final stages of the shorter JLT Chase. Stamina certainly looks to be his forte and he’s a worthy opponent stepped up in trip, especially as he proved he likes Aintree when second over hurdles at this meeting last year. His trainer thinks he’ll be a Cheltenham Gold Cup horse next year.

Bags Groove

Has won four of his five chases but is normally at his best when dominating lower-class races. He sulked when he couldn’t dominate the grade one Kauto Star Novices’ Chase at Christmas and it could be a similar scenario here with Lostintranslation in the field.

Mr Whipped

Must be respected as he is trained by Nicky Henderson, who normally does well at this meeting, but he does have over a stone to find with the favourite. However, he did show plenty of promise in his first three runs over hurdles, the best of which was when landing a grade two from subsequent Stayers’ Hurdle winner Paisley Park.

Champagne Classic

Interesting possible Irish contender who has raced just twice over fences but had top-class form over hurdles at the big spring festivals two years ago, when he beat Penhill at Punchestown. Missed the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival and could run here with the Grand National a possible long-term target for this strong-staying type.

Mildmay Novices’ Chase

Topofthegame and Lostintranslation dominate the ratings and the market, and it’s easy to see the two battling out the finish. Lostintranslation looks sure to try and gallop the finish out of his stronger-travelling rival and, as his trainer regards him very highly, he looks the value to do so at the forecast prices.

Mildmay Novices’ Chase 2019 Tip

Lostintranslation