Horse Racing

JLT Chase 2019 Horse Racing Preview & Tip

The JLT Chase (Friday 5 April) is the new name for the race that was formerly known as the Melling Chase. It is a grade one and is run over a trip of 2 miles 3 furlongs and 200 yards at Aintree. Notable winners include Viking Flagship, Direct Route, Native Upmanship, Moscow Flyer, Voy Por Ustedes, Sprinter Sacre, and Don Cossack.

JLT Chase 10-Year-Trends

  • The last 10 winners have been aged either seven, eight, or nine
  • Nine of the last 10 winners were rated at least 161
  • Three favourites and one joint favourite have won
  • SP’s of the winners have ranged from 1/3 to 11/1

JLT Chase 2019 Main Contenders

Politologue

Last year’s winner returns to defend his crown and he would have also probably won at this meeting in his novice chase season but for falling. He also returns after what looked an excellent runner-up finish in the Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, which was by far the best run of his career at Cheltenham. Stable jockey Harry Cobden also appears to have been booked to ride and he has an excellent record on him.

Cyrname

Challenging for favouritism with most bookmakers but he is probably not going to run if Harry Cobden has been booked to ride his stablemate Politologue. Would probably be favourite if he does run and he could be a star in the making.

Waiting Patiently

Easily brushed aside by 17-lengths by Cyrname last time but he still finished over three lengths in front of Politologue, who he also beat on the previous occasion they met. This lightly-raced eight-year-old is also the officially highest-rated horse in the field on a mark of 169 and missed the Cheltenham Festival to run in this race. Slight chance that connections may not risk him on good ground but there is quite a bit of rain forecast at Aintree in the build-up to the Grand National Meeting.

Min

Rated just two pounds lower than Waiting Patiently and he’s run lots of excellent races at grade one level, including when just caught late on by Politologue in this race last year. Would definitely have been disputing favouritism had he not run poorly in the Champion Chase but, if he just had an off-day there, he looks overpriced on the balance of his form.

Top Notch

Plenty of form over two and a half miles over fences, but hasn’t run up to his best in two previous visits to Aintree, and tends to find grade one company too hot.

Aso

Ran a blinder when second in the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival but has run well below form on three previous visits to Aintree.

JLT Chase 2019 Summary

If Cyrname doesn’t run, it would be no surprise to see last year’s first and second Politologue and Min fighting out the finish one again. However, whilst Waiting Patiently has to prove himself at Aintree, this flat course should suit him ideally and he’s already beaten Politologue twice. He’s also the top-rated horse in the field and has been specifically targeted at this race.

JLT Chase 2019 Tip

Waiting Patiently @