Lithuania really have nothing to play for in this fixture as they are so far back of the qualification picture in the group that they aren’t going to get themselves into the mix. So that should work in favour of Scotland who have to go out and put a win on the board to keep their own slim hopes of chasing down a top two spot in the group alive. But the Scots were made to sweat by Lithuania when they met earlier in the group, Scotland having to dig out a late equalizer to avoid an embarrassing defeat. They need better, much better in this meeting and the Scots are 4/5 to take the win, with Lithuania at 7/2
The Lithuanians don’t have any form to speak of going into this one. They have collected five points from their six games in the group so far, with a W1 D2 L3 record. As a positive for them they have scored at least one goal in each of their last seven home fixtures, so they are worth backing to get on the scoresheet. Their defence has shipped at a rate of almost two goals per game in qualifying though and they are vulnerable at the back. Their home form in the group is W1 D1 L1 so far and they are on a four match losing streak in current form.
Scotland have only won one of their last six games played and in the World Cup qualifying group, they have taken a W2 D2 L2 record. They haven’t been convincing on the road through with two 3-0 defeats against England and Slovakia, along with an expected victory out in Malta. They have taken just the one clean sheet in the group and like Lithuania, their defence can’t really be trusted because they have shipped ten goals in six games.
Head to Head News:
Earlier in the campaign when these two met last October, Scotland had to have their blushes saved by James McArthur who scored an 89th-minute equaliser at Hampden Park. The points they dropped in that game are proving to be quite telling. You put them three points better off in the current standings and things would look so much rosier for them. Scotland are unbeaten in their last six games against Lithuania now (W4 D2) and overall in the head to head, the Scots are 5-1 up with three drawn matches.
Top Betting Tips:
The situation that Scotland have left themselves in means one thing. They basically just have to throw a bit of caution to the wind in this one and go for it. They should be beating sites like Lothians and have a decent enough record against them to suggest that they can indeed win this. Back both teams to score though for 6/5 at Paddy Power offers some value because the Lithuanians do have the scoring form at home. If Scotland win this it probably won’t be by more than a one goal margin which is another option.